Will the US abolish the Electoral College for presidential elections by 2040? | Manifold

Will the US abolish the Electoral College for presidential elections by 2040?

14

1kṀ1643

2041

14%

chance

1H

6H

1D

1W

1M

ALL

Update 10/29: Requires abolition of the electoral college - methods that rely on the popular vote but still operate via the electoral college (e.g., NPVIC) do not result in a positive resolution.

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predictedNO

predictedNO

Related market that resolves positively in the event of NPVIC or other method to circumvent the EC.

How does this resolve if the NPVIC goes into effect?

Also waiting on this before betting

predictedNO

@LivInTheLookingGlass Requires abolition of the EC, so would resolve negatively. But I created / linked an alternative market that accommodates for the NPVIC.

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Will the US effectively abolish the Electoral College for presidential elections by 2040?

Will the Electoral College be actually or functionally abolished before the 2032 election?

Will more Americans support abolishing the Electoral College after the 2024 election?

Will there be an Electoral College tie by 2049?

Will the US be a democracy in 2040?

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Will the US have "one person, one vote" by 2050?

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