Will the US abolish the Electoral College for presidential elections by 2040? | Manifold

Will the US abolish the Electoral College for presidential elections by 2040?

Plus

14

Ṁ1643

2041

14%

chance

1D

1W

1M

ALL

Update 10/29: Requires abolition of the electoral college - methods that rely on the popular vote but still operate via the electoral college (e.g., NPVIC) do not result in a positive resolution.

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predicts NO

predicts NO

Related market that resolves positively in the event of NPVIC or other method to circumvent the EC.

How does this resolve if the NPVIC goes into effect?

Also waiting on this before betting

predicts NO

@LivInTheLookingGlass Requires abolition of the EC, so would resolve negatively. But I created / linked an alternative market that accommodates for the NPVIC.

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