
NYT = New York Times
WSJ = Wall Street Journal
🏅 Top traders
# | Name | Total profit |
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1 | Ṁ139 | |
2 | Ṁ132 | |
3 | Ṁ63 | |
4 | Ṁ37 | |
5 | Ṁ37 |
People are also trading
Decent chance Manifold becomes the go to barometer for room temperature superconducting among journalists who don’t have the time or intelligence to figure it out for themselves. This is probably the first truly viral moment.
I think what I learned is that there should be a market automatically created for every new bill proposed and in congress, every trade agreement needing ratification, every nominee up for confirmation. As many markets that can be automated and used as an source of knowledge about complex topics. I think sorting by trustworthy likes or using sentiment analysis to rise best comments would also be smart. Or like if we have a resident/eminent material scientist give them an expert badge in that subject and pay them mana to answer questions.
For example, @IsaacKohane is literally one of the top 5 biomedical informatics experts in the world, so manifold should give Dr Kohane an expert badge and ask him very nicely to settle complicated disputes on markets like /RatUziCat/is-the-pcnatargeting-cancer-drug-pa
While you guys are at it, give me a Manifold UX Expert Badge and do a user interview with me!!!

@BTE I was contemplating whether I should bet a lot or only a small amount to hedge against the possibility that the creator resolves it in a weird way, but I decided to bet more since it seems like the answer is unambiguously YES to me.
@BTE I can't find this after googling - any chance you could share the link or point me in the right direction for what to search for?
@CarsonGale It was about the SBF venture investment spreadsheet. Manifold was one of the investments featured. It may have been in the NYT also.