Will I be diagnosed with cancer by 2035?
15
closes 2036
4%
chance

The market will resolve YES if I report that I have been diagnosed with any type of cancer by the end of 2035. The diagnosis must be based on valid medical tests or procedures. The type of cancer and the method of diagnosis are irrelevant for the market outcome.

I do not have any family history for cancer, other than some minor late-stage skin cancer that my Grandma has.

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AlQuinn avatar
Al Quinn

lupus

NicoDelon avatar
Nico D

2025 or 2035?

JimHays avatar
Jim Haysis predicting NO at 8%

Thanks for catching that!

CarsonGale avatar
Carson Gale

@JimHays I'm sorry - the description is incorrect. I just fixed.

LachlanMunro avatar
Lachlan Munro

How old are you?

JimHays avatar
Jim Haysbought Ṁ10 of NO

@LachlanMunro Some sources say Carson was born Nov. 30, 1993, which would make him 29. However, not all info in these reports is correct.

https://www.officialusa.com/names/Carson-Gale/

JimHays avatar
Jim Haysis predicting NO at 18%

this makes it look like adult males in their 30s have a less than 1% chance of being diagnosed with cancer:

https://www.cancerresearchuk.org/health-professional/cancer-statistics/incidence/age#heading-Zero

CarsonGale avatar
Carson Gale

@JimHays that birthday is incorrect, but I am 28

MarkIngraham avatar
Mark Ingraham

I predict covid

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