Will I be diagnosed with cancer by 2035? | Manifold

Will I be diagnosed with cancer by 2035?

18

1kṀ1735

2036

4%

chance

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6H

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1M

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The market will resolve YES if I report that I have been diagnosed with any type of cancer by the end of 2035. The diagnosis must be based on valid medical tests or procedures. The type of cancer and the method of diagnosis are irrelevant for the market outcome.

I do not have any family history for cancer, other than some minor late-stage skin cancer that my Grandma has.

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2025 or 2035?

predictedNO

Thanks for catching that!

@JimHays I'm sorry - the description is incorrect. I just fixed.

How old are you?

@LachlanMunro Some sources say Carson was born Nov. 30, 1993, which would make him 29. However, not all info in these reports is correct.

https://www.officialusa.com/names/Carson-Gale/

predictedNO

this makes it look like adult males in their 30s have a less than 1% chance of being diagnosed with cancer:

https://www.cancerresearchuk.org/health-professional/cancer-statistics/incidence/age#heading-Zero

@JimHays that birthday is incorrect, but I am 28

I predict covid

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Will cancer be cured by 2035?

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Related questions

Will cancer be cured by 2035?

Will a cure that eradicated over 50% of cancer tumors without significant adverse side effects be found before 2050?

Will we get a cure for cancer before 2035?

Will we get a cure for cancer before 2033?

Will we get a cure for cancer before 2036?

Will we get a cure for cancer before 2031?

Will we get a cure for cancer before 2030?

Will we get a cure for cancer before 2037?

Will we get a cure for cancer before 2034?

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