Will I be diagnosed with cancer by 2035?
17
44
Ṁ1.7KṀ370
2036
5%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
The market will resolve YES if I report that I have been diagnosed with any type of cancer by the end of 2035. The diagnosis must be based on valid medical tests or procedures. The type of cancer and the method of diagnosis are irrelevant for the market outcome.
I do not have any family history for cancer, other than some minor late-stage skin cancer that my Grandma has.
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@LachlanMunro Some sources say Carson was born Nov. 30, 1993, which would make him 29. However, not all info in these reports is correct.
this makes it look like adult males in their 30s have a less than 1% chance of being diagnosed with cancer:
https://www.cancerresearchuk.org/health-professional/cancer-statistics/incidence/age#heading-Zero