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MANIFOLD
In 2023, will some $100M+ funds fail due to inability to raise additional LP capital for future funds?
4
Ṁ130Ṁ8
resolved Feb 12
Resolved
NO

On January 4th, 2023 Term Sheet, a well-known financial newsletter by Fortune (typically regarding PE/VC) posted a series of predictions regarding the calendar year 2023.

One of these predictions was the following:

We’ll see some large funds (100M+) slowly, but publicly, fail after failing to raise additional LP capital for future funds, causing GPs to leave.” —Charley Ma, angel investor and GM, Fintech at Alloy

I will not attempt to initially define all resolution criteria in this market and will instead attempt to handle any nuances/complications/data feasibility as it arises. If by end of 2023 I think it is not possible to confidently resolve this market in the spirit in which it was intended, I reserve the right to resolve as "n/a".

Any clarifications to the resolution criteria will be listed below, along with the applicable date:

  • [TBU]

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