This market resolves YES if the initial BEA advance estimate for Q2 2026 U.S. real GDP reports annualized real GDP growth of +2.0% or higher. Use the headline real GDP percent change from the preceding quarter, annualized, in the first BEA Gross Domestic Product advance-estimate release for Q2 2026. Resolve NO if that initial advance estimate is +1.9% or lower, zero, or negative. Do not use nominal GDP, GDI, final sales, current-dollar GDP, monthly indicators, the later second/third estimates, or benchmark/annual revisions unless BEA issues a correction to the initial Q2 2026 advance estimate before this market resolves. If the Q2 2026 GDP advance-estimate release is delayed, wait for the first BEA release containing the Q2 2026 real GDP advance estimate unless no such release exists by August 6, 2026, in which case resolve N/A. Creation context: {"current_official_context": "BEA's GDP page currently says Q1 2026 real GDP increased 1.6% annualized in the second estimate, after Q4 2025 increased 0.5%.", "metric": "Real GDP percent change from the preceding quarter, annualized", "related_non_duplicates": ["`dpAuZpEQtN` is the existing CG Q2 2026 real GDP advance >=3.0% market; this is a lower 2.0% threshold.", "`8A09uQ0quC` asks whether any of Q1/Q2/Q3 2026 has negative GDP growth, not whether Q2 advance growth is at least 2.0%.", "Year-level recession/GDP markets and monthly CPI/PCE/NFP markets are different official releases or horizons."], "release_schedule": "BEA schedule lists Gross Domestic Product, 2nd Quarter 2026 for July 30, 2026 at 8:30 AM Eastern.", "resolver_surface": "Initial BEA Gross Domestic Product advance estimate for Q2 2026", "threshold": "At least +2.0%"}. Sources / resolver surfaces: - BEA release schedule: https://www.bea.gov/news/schedule - BEA GDP page: https://www.bea.gov/data/gdp/gross-domestic-product