This market resolves YES if BEA's initial Gross Domestic Product advance estimate for the second quarter of 2026 reports that real GDP increased at an annual rate of at least 3.0% in Q2 2026. Use the BEA news release titled GDP (Advance Estimate), 2nd Quarter 2026, specifically the headline real gross domestic product percent change from the preceding quarter at an annual rate. A reported +3.0% or higher resolves YES; +2.9% or lower, including zero or a negative rate, resolves NO. Use the first BEA Q2 2026 advance-estimate release, not later second/third estimates or annual revisions, unless BEA issues a correction before this market resolves. If the release is delayed, wait for the first BEA Q2 2026 GDP advance estimate unless no such release is available by August 31, 2026, in which case resolve N/A. BEA's current release schedule lists GDP (Advance Estimate), 2nd Quarter 2026 for July 30, 2026 at 8:30 a.m. ET. BEA's GDP page currently shows Q1 2026 advance real GDP growth at +2.0% and Q4 2025 at +0.5%, giving this a clean macro-threshold setup rather than a resolved/known outcome. Resolver/source surfaces: - BEA release schedule: https://www.bea.gov/news/schedule - BEA GDP page: https://www.bea.gov/data/gdp/gross-domestic-product - BEA current releases: https://www.bea.gov/news/current-releases