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Will Apple ship a Gemini-powered Siri update to iPhones in 2026?
4
Ṁ200Ṁ101
Dec 31
43%
chance

Resolution Criteria

Resolves YES if Apple releases an iOS update in 2026 that integrates Google Gemini (or a Gemini-derived model) as a core component of Siri, available to end users on iPhones. The integration must be a shipping product update, not just a developer beta or announcement.

Context: Reports indicate Apple is partnering with Google to integrate Gemini into Siri, targeting an iOS 26.4 release. This would represent a major shift in Apple's AI strategy after Apple Intelligence received criticism.

Resolves NO if no such update ships to end users by December 31, 2026. A beta-only release does not count.

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