This event predicts whether Apple will officially announce a new AR (Augmented Reality) headset at any point during the calendar year 2026.

An announcement is considered valid if Apple publicly introduces, unveils, or confirms a new AR headset product through an official keynote, press release, or announcement on its official website or channels.
Rumors, leaks, patents, or third-party reports do not count as an official announcement.

The outcome will be resolved based on verifiable public records from Apple’s official communications.

Resolution criteria

This market resolves YES if Apple makes an official public announcement of a new AR headset product during the calendar year 2026. An announcement is valid if it occurs through an official keynote, press release, or announcement on Apple's official website or channels.

Rumors, leaks, patents, or third-party reports do not count. The announcement must come directly from Apple and explicitly introduce or unveil a new AR headset model (not software updates or accessories to existing products).

Resolution will be verified through Apple's official communications and major news coverage from reputable tech outlets documenting the announcement.

Background

Apple is said to be pausing work on the next Vision Pro in order to focus on the glasses. Apple is expected to announce its new smart glasses in 2026 — but their official launch won't be until later. However, Apple has just announced the new Vision Pro — sporting an M5 chip, Micro OLED display tech that can reach 120Hz refresh rate, and the far more comfortable dual knit band included in the box. Apple has been cutting Vision Pro production and marketing in response to weak sales.

Considerations

The question specifically asks about AR headsets, which could include smart glasses or traditional headsets. Kuo says that Apple will launch the glasses in 2027, but Gurman believes that Apple will introduce the smart glasses in late 2026. Analyst estimates diverge on timing, and Apple has not officially confirmed any 2026 announcements for new AR products.