Did the release of Claude 3 help reduce AI x-risk?
4
24
แน126แน140
2030
69%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
100% = Undoubtedly helped reduce
50% = Neutral effect in expectation
0% = Undoubtedly worsened
This won't close until at least 2028.
Otherwise, I'll eventually resolve to market when it looks like betting has stagnated or the price has otherwise stabilized. I'll look to have exited any position I have before resolving is on the cards, to avoid COI.
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