Did the release of Claude 3 help reduce AI x-risk?
8
140Ṁ2012030
52%
chance
1H
6H
1D
1W
1M
ALL
100% = Undoubtedly helped reduce
50% = Neutral effect in expectation
0% = Undoubtedly worsened
This won't close until at least 2028.
Otherwise, I'll eventually resolve to market when it looks like betting has stagnated or the price has otherwise stabilized. I'll look to have exited any position I have before resolving is on the cards, to avoid COI.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
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