Will the German government pass a law enabling citizenship after 3 years of legal residence by September 2023?
Will the German government pass a law enabling citizenship after 3 years of legal residence by September 2023?
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330Ṁ3556resolved Sep 9
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Draft legislation says it will now be possible to apply after 5 years, or 3 years with sufficiently good German skills. Resolves YES with an affirmative vote in the Bundestag before September 1st 2023.
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What is this?
What is Manifold?
Manifold is the world's largest social prediction market.
Get accurate real-time odds on politics, tech, sports, and more.
Or create your own play-money betting market on any question you care about.
Are our predictions accurate?
Yes! Manifold is very well calibrated, with forecasts on average within 4 percentage points of the true probability. Our probabilities are created by users buying and selling shares of a market.
In the 2022 US midterm elections, we outperformed all other prediction market platforms and were in line with FiveThirtyEight’s performance. Many people who don't like betting still use Manifold to get reliable news.
Why use play money?
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