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MANIFOLD
Will Bulgaria become a leading EU blocker on Ukraine by 31 December 2027
11
Ṁ100Ṁ310
2027
25%
chance

Resolves YES if:
Before 31 December 2027, Bulgaria is among no more than three EU member states that officially prevent adoption of, or vote against, an EU measure on Ukraine aid, military support for Ukraine, or sanctions on Russia.

Resolves NO otherwise.

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The sanctions on russia subclause looks suspicious.