From the Sora 2 announcement post:
A lot of problems with other apps stem from the monetization model incentivizing decisions that are at odds with user wellbeing. Transparently, our only current plan is to eventually give users the option to pay some amount to generate an extra video if there’s too much demand relative to available compute. As the app evolves, we will openly communicate any changes in our approach here, while continuing to keep user wellbeing as our main goal.
This market resolves YES if sometime before September 30, 2027, OpenAI is paid to place ads on the Sora app, or another video app they create.
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@2b3o4o Ah sorry, that's a good point. I probably shouldn't have resolved. I don't think there's anything I can do at this point, but will be more careful about reading my own market descriptions in the future
With Sora now shut down https://manifold.markets/KevinRoose/will-openai-retire-the-sora-app-in
I guess only the "another video app they create" avenue of this question remains open.
Testing ChatGPT ads should move this higher than status quo. My last No buy was ctually the day before they announced it.