Will a Sora-generated video receive over 1 billion total views across social media before July 2026?
14
1kṀ27012026
40%
chance
1H
6H
1D
1W
1M
ALL
can also be a compilation of multiple ai-generated vidoes like the prompt theory one. if the same video goes viral on multiple platforms then views will be aggregated. minor human edits are allowed. .
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000 to start trading!
People are also trading
Will an AI generated YouTube video reach 5B views before 2026?
2% chance
Will a Sora-generated video receive over 1 billion total views across social media before 2026?
14% chance
Will an AI generated YouTube video reach 1B views before 2026?
23% chance
Will an AI generated YouTube video reach 500M views before 2026?
21% chance
Sora app reaches 50 billion daily views by end of 2026?
15% chance
Will an AI generated YouTube video reach 2B views before 2026?
7% chance
Will an AI generated YouTube video reach 1B views before 2027?
69% chance
Will an AI generated YouTube video reach 2B views before 2027?
34% chance
Will an AI generated YouTube video reach 500M views before 2027?
95% chance
Will an AI generated YouTube video reach 5B views before 2027?
15% chance
Sort by:
@Dulaman I imagine burden of proof would be on the YES traders, and if they couldn't prove it within a week or two of the deadline passing then it would resolve NO
@Dulaman i feel this is quite obvious and a common practice for questions of this sort, but just for the sake of clarity, yes the burden of proof is on Yes traders and the videos have to reach the 1 billion milestone before the end of the market
People are also trading
Related questions
Will an AI generated YouTube video reach 5B views before 2026?
2% chance
Will a Sora-generated video receive over 1 billion total views across social media before 2026?
14% chance
Will an AI generated YouTube video reach 1B views before 2026?
23% chance
Will an AI generated YouTube video reach 500M views before 2026?
21% chance
Sora app reaches 50 billion daily views by end of 2026?
15% chance
Will an AI generated YouTube video reach 2B views before 2026?
7% chance
Will an AI generated YouTube video reach 1B views before 2027?
69% chance
Will an AI generated YouTube video reach 2B views before 2027?
34% chance
Will an AI generated YouTube video reach 500M views before 2027?
95% chance
Will an AI generated YouTube video reach 5B views before 2027?
15% chance