Will a US semiconductor fab begin volume production of 3nm chips by 2024?
20
closes Jan 2
37%
chance
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Ṁ50
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Payout if YES
Ṁ26 +166.7%
New probability
38% +1.0%
Will resolve based on public announcements of volume production.
Close date updated to 2024-01-01 11:59 pm
Get Ṁ500 play money
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Intel said in February that Intel 3 "will be manufacturing-ready in the second half of 2023."
Samsung's new Austin fab "is scheduled to open in the second half of 2024."
To clarify, you mean by start of 2024 right? Can you leave the market open until resolution time as is customary?
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