How many Americans will be killed in post-election civil unrest before January 21st, 2025?
Basic
9
Ṁ119Jan 22
70%
0
13%
1-5
9%
5-10
1.8%
10-50
1.8%
50-100
1.7%
100-1000
1.7%
1000-10,000
1.7%
10,000+
This question specifically refers to deaths that are specifically related to political civil unrest (e.g. January 6th capital riot, protests, politically motivated homicides or assassinations etc.). The market will resolve on Jan 21 unless the death toll of a mass casualty event is still being tabulated. If you have evidence of examples of eligible deaths please leave them in the comments - I will do my best to keep track.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
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1,000
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@hidetzugu I encourage any other market participants with evidence of political homicide by other members to speak up to maintain the integrity of the market
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