How does this market resolve if the election occurs before 2025?

What if their parties have a tie in seats?

Still hasn't happened yet so fingers crossed, we'll cross that bridge when it comes to it! 👍

Trudeau just separated from his wife, seems to be bad news for his reelection campaign

338Canada has the probability of the CPC winning the next election at 90% as of yesterday's update (I was confused at the sudden YES spike, so I decided to look it up - the reason is that 338Canada had a similar spike, from about 55% to 90%.) This is probably the result of a big swing in polls last week, probably as a result of Trudeau's cabinet shakeup.