Update 2025-02-18 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): Resolution Metric Clarification
The market outcome will be determined by the chance percentage displayed at the top left of the page.
This percentage represents the calculated probability of a 'Yes' outcome, not the number of traders betting 'Yes'.
🏅 Top traders
# | Name | Total profit |
---|---|---|
1 | Ṁ338 | |
2 | Ṁ301 | |
3 | Ṁ41 | |
4 | Ṁ35 | |
5 | Ṁ26 |
People are also trading
The standard way to (re)phrase this market (and your related markets) is probably along the lines of: “Will this market close above 50%?”
@TheAllMemeingEye @BryantYu Huh, that's weird. In this market, which has the exactly the same wording except for one number, I was told that the criteria was that the "chance" of the market had to be above 69%, not the number of traders: https://manifold.markets/BryantYu/will-this-question-get-more-than-69
@luvkprovider FYI I am new to Manifold markets, so I'm sorry if I messed up the wording. To clarity once more, the "chance" I am referring to is the percentage on the top left side of the page (see image attached).
