Update 2025-02-18 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): Resolution Metric Clarification
The market outcome will be determined by the chance percentage displayed at the top left of the page.
This percentage represents the calculated probability of a 'Yes' outcome, not the number of traders betting 'Yes'.
🏅 Top traders
# | Name | Total profit |
---|---|---|
1 | Ṁ338 | |
2 | Ṁ301 | |
3 | Ṁ41 | |
4 | Ṁ35 | |
5 | Ṁ26 |
@TheAllMemeingEye @BryantYu Huh, that's weird. In this market, which has the exactly the same wording except for one number, I was told that the criteria was that the "chance" of the market had to be above 69%, not the number of traders: https://manifold.markets/BryantYu/will-this-question-get-more-than-69
@luvkprovider FYI I am new to Manifold markets, so I'm sorry if I messed up the wording. To clarity once more, the "chance" I am referring to is the percentage on the top left side of the page (see image attached).

@BryantYu lol this is the second time in 24h a market creator has scammed me by switching the meaning of a market, fortunately I didn't lose too much but it's still annoying