Will more than 50% of US population be convinced that free will is an illusion before year 2050?
28
62
Ṁ594Ṁ570
2050
11%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
I will resolve this to positive if at any time before the end of 2050 a survey of US citizens, with a sample size that is descriptive of the whole population, will say that more than 50% of the population, agrees with the sentence "Free Will is an illusion"
Get Ṁ200 play money
Related questions
Sort by:
@tailcalled This simply proves that determinism is not an hindrance to free will, it does not prove its existence, simply that some of the people that jump to the conclusion that free will is an illusion, do so fallaciously
Related questions
Will more than half the US population actively work with AI daily by 2027?
32% chance
Will I understand a causal decision theorist/frequentist/libertarian free will believer before the end of 2024?
38% chance
Will the United States of America consist of 50 states until 2050?
45% chance
Will the US have a revolution before 2100?
Will more than 0.001% of the world population be incarcerated in 2070?
69% chance
Will the US be a democracy in 2050?
81% chance
Will more than 15% of the US population identify as vegan by 2030?
14% chance
Will >50% of the United States population identify as vegan by 2080?
30% chance
Will there still be exactly 50 US states by 2030?
82% chance
Will the United States of America be composed of exactly 50 states by 2030?
83% chance