Will 25% of Americans be cognitively augmented humans by 2040?
➕
Plus
21
Ṁ450
2040
20%
chance

By 2040, if scientific or medical consensus holds that at least 25% of the United States population possesses enhanced cognition through technology, facilitating thought surpassing the unenhanced human mind, then this market shall resolve as "yes."

Augmented cognition refers to enhanced intelligent capacity transcending the unenhanced human mind, enabling dexterous information processing and complex cognitive work without reliance on apparatus introducing latency or demanding intricate human mediation. This may encompass neural interfaces, invasive or non-invasive brain-computer interfaces, or other formats of cognitive amplification such as an arithmetic logic unit integrated with human neural substrate.

This consensus must rest upon verifiable evidence documented in reputable scientific or medical publication.

Written by Claude-instant

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