Huberman scandal — what will be true by 2026?
12
495Ṁ7992026
8%
Huberman issues a statement of public apology, acknowledging wrongdoing
12%
Huberman is fired from Stanford
9%
Huberman takes an extended break from producing content (at least 1 month)
12%
Huberman files a lawsuit in relation to the scandal
19%
Huberman is sued in relation to the scandal
8%
Huberman is accused of a crime
25%
Huberman is dropped by his sponsor Athletic Greens
Popular podcast host and Stanford prof Andrew Huberman was recently the subject of a New York Magazine article alleging, among other things, that he simultaneously dated up to 6 women who thought they were in monogamous relationships with him.
What will happen in relation to the unfolding scandal?
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What is this?
What is Manifold?
Manifold is the world's largest social prediction market.
Get accurate real-time odds on politics, tech, sports, and more.
Or create your own play-money betting market on any question you care about.
Are our predictions accurate?
Yes! Manifold is very well calibrated, with forecasts on average within 4 percentage points of the true probability. Our probabilities are created by users buying and selling shares of a market.
In the 2022 US midterm elections, we outperformed all other prediction market platforms and were in line with FiveThirtyEight’s performance. Many people who don't like betting still use Manifold to get reliable news.
Why use play money?
Why use play money?Mana (Ṁ) is the play-money currency used to bet on Manifold. It cannot be converted to cash. All users start with Ṁ1,000 for free.
Play money means it's much easier for anyone anywhere in the world to get started and try out forecasting without any risk. It also means there's more freedom to create and bet on any type of question.
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