Background:
Alex Jones, a controversial figure known for his conspiracy theories, had his account on the social media platform X restored by Elon Musk in December 2023. This decision was made following a public poll and marked a significant reversal of the platform's previous stance (https://www.npr.org/2023/12/10/1218431610/elon-musk-restores-x-account-of-conspiracy-theorist-alex-jones).
Conditions for Resolving the Market:
Yes Outcome: The market resolves as "Yes" if Alex Jones's account on the social media platform X is suspended, banned, or otherwise restricted from posting content by the platform's administrators for any duration of time before or on June 15, 2024.
No Outcome: The market resolves as "No" if Alex Jones's account remains active and unrestricted on the social media platform X up to and including June 15, 2024.
Verification Source: The resolution will be based on official announcements or public confirmations by the social media platform X or its representatives, or through widely recognized and credible news sources reporting on the status of Alex Jones's account.
Clarifications:
Temporary restrictions or limitations (such as post deletions or temporary suspensions) count towards a "Yes" resolution if they are explicitly enforced by the platform's administrators.
Any restrictions or limitations that are part of the platform's automated systems or algorithms but not explicitly enforced by the platform's administrators do not count towards a "Yes" resolution.
In case of ambiguity or conflicting reports, the market resolution will be based on the most credible and widely accepted sources available by the resolution date.
Related questions
@Marnix A complication here is that Jones and his company are currently in the process bankruptcy. So, presumably, any money he makes from this site will ultimately go back to his creditors? It certainly won't make much of a dent in the roughly $1 billion dollars of damages he still has to pay (the families have offered to settle for less, but it's still a lot.)
https://www.cnn.com/2023/11/28/us/sandy-hook-families-settlement-alex-jones/index.html
@nottelling2ccc Not necessarily a complication - I see Jones sucking up to Elon as much as humanly possible in the hopes that Musk will help save him from his bankruptcy, no matter how unlikely it is that Elon will do that. I also see Jones thinking he'll have some way of hiding his money (even if he's not), and still trying to make as much as he possibly can through twitter. Twitter was where his bread was buttered before he got the boot - he's not going to run afoul of Musk now. And honestly, even if he does go bankrupt, it's not like it'll get him banned again.
@Marnix Yeah. Even if Twitter ends up not being profitable, or even if it costs him a little, I doubt Alex would want to leave. I also don't see any reason why he'd pick a fight with Musk, or why Musk would pick a fight with him.
@shankypanky Yes, the prominent account of a well-known and controversial figure was suspended (and remains suspended) under Musk after Musk reinstated it.