Will NASA successfully launch Artemis 1 by the end of the day on August 29?

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resolved Aug 29

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Jul 30, 3:56pm: Will NASA successfully launch Artemis 1 by the end of the day on August 29?

Jul 30, 3:57pm: ~~Will NASA launch Artemis 1 by the end of the day on August 29?~~ → Will NASA successfully launch Artemis 1 by the end of the day on August 29?

Jul 30, 3:57pm: This resolves to "no" if they launch it and it blows up.

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It's not the end of the day yet...

@kolotom99 NASA scrubbed the launch for today. Next launch window is on Friday.

Might've been a little wiser to wait to resolve until the actual end of the day, though I agree the chances of them changing course are slim.

Multiple well-informed people on twitter saying scrub for today. Not confirmed by NASA yet.

predictedNO

@Multicore And called by launch director.

Similar question, but including backup launch dates: https://manifold.markets/MattP/will-nasas-artemis-i-launch-before

predictedYES

So if it gets postponed to another day due to weather, it resolves NO right?

@Charlie Correct

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