Will NASA successfully launch Artemis 1 by the end of the day on August 29?
19
5
100
resolved Aug 29
Resolved
NO

Jul 30, 3:56pm: Will NASA successfully launch Artemis 1 by the end of the day on August 29?

Jul 30, 3:57pm: Will NASA launch Artemis 1 by the end of the day on August 29? → Will NASA successfully launch Artemis 1 by the end of the day on August 29?

Jul 30, 3:57pm: This resolves to "no" if they launch it and it blows up.

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It's not the end of the day yet...

@kolotom99 NASA scrubbed the launch for today. Next launch window is on Friday.

sold Ṁ48 of NO

Might've been a little wiser to wait to resolve until the actual end of the day, though I agree the chances of them changing course are slim.

bought Ṁ200 of NO

Multiple well-informed people on twitter saying scrub for today. Not confirmed by NASA yet.

predicted NO

@Multicore And called by launch director.

bought Ṁ20 of NO
Similar question, but including backup launch dates: https://manifold.markets/MattP/will-nasas-artemis-i-launch-before
predicted YES
So if it gets postponed to another day due to weather, it resolves NO right?
@Charlie Correct