![](/_next/image?url=https%3A%2F%2Fstorage.googleapis.com%2Fmantic-markets.appspot.com%2Fcontract-images%2Fwilsonkime%252F03bd338a123f.jpg&w=3840&q=75)
Trump is Republican nominee x Republicans win the 2024 Presidential election
Basic
27
Ṁ2.7kNov 7
1D
1W
1M
ALL
55%
Trump is nominee and Republican Party wins Presidential election
0.4%
Trump is not nominee and Republican Party wins Presidential election
43%
Trump is nominee and Republican Party loses the Presidential election
1.2%
Trump is not nominee and Republican Party loses Presidential election
Resolves directly based on the following two markets:
https://manifold.markets/BruceGrugett/will-donald-trump-be-the-republican
https://manifold.markets/AmmonLam/will-the-republican-party-win-the-2
Get Ṁ600 play money
Related questions
Related questions
Conditional on being nominated by the Republican party, will Donald Trump win the 2024 presidential election?
63% chance
Will the Republican party win the 2024 U.S. presidential election?
61% chance
If Donald Trump is the 2024 nominee, will he win the presidential election?
55% chance
Who would win the US Presidential Election, if they were the Republican Party nominee in 2024?
If the 2024 Republican nominee is neither Trump nor Desantis, will the Republicans win the election?
58% chance
Will the winner of the 2024 US Presidential Election be a Republican?
63% chance
If the Republican nominee wins Texas, will they win the presidency (2024)?
60% chance
If the Republican nominee wins Ohio, will they win the presidency (2024)?
65% chance
If the Republican nominee wins Florida, will they win the presidency (2024)?
51% chance
Donald Trump wins 2024 Republican Nomination? (No) → Donald Trump as Third-Party Candidate 2024?
35% chance