Will Israel start a large scale Gaza incursion today (by 11:59pm EDT on 10/27/23)?
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resolved Oct 28
Resolved
YES

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predicted NO

@Panfilo This was not a full scale invasion. The tanks and troops withdrew. It was a targeted invasion but only temporary

@Bruce54df https://x.com/sentdefender/status/1718139906327810524?s=46&t=ysuToRHdvIMAo_KadMtpHA It looks like with day dawning in Palestine/Israel, they are still there.

predicted YES

@Panfilo Financial times says dozens of tanks fighting through the night and still there in morning. https://www.ft.com/content/2723dc90-b3f3-407b-b111-08e350df284d

predicted YES

@Bruce54df The question does not require a full scale invasion to resolve Yes. It very explicitly calls for an "incursion" which is not the same thing. While you can argue an invasion didn't take place (though even on this you seem to agree that a targeted but temporary invasion happened), no-one is disputing that a large scale incursion took place, which is what the question asked. This should be resolved to yes.

I'd note that other markets run by reputable users on manifold make this same distinction.