This market assesses the likelihood of former President Barack Obama being arrested on or before January 1, 2029. Recent political developments have seen accusations and calls for legal action against Obama, including claims of treason and espionage. However, as of August 7, 2025, no formal charges or arrests have been made. This market will resolve to 'Yes' if credible reports from reputable news organizations confirm Obama's arrest by the specified date; otherwise, it will resolve to 'No'.