Will there be a mass-produced reversible computer on the market by 2032? | Manifold

Will there be a mass-produced reversible computer on the market by 2032?

Plus

14

Ṁ364

2032

24%

chance

1D

1W

1M

ALL

Reversible computing (see links below), is a way of making a computer more energy efficient by making circuits inside "reversible" in that they avoid losing entropy to their environment. Extrapolating trends, [3] the current rate of efficiency improvements will become unsustainable by around 2030. This market resolves to "YES" if on or before December 31 2031, a computer system that uses reversible computing is available on the market for consumers to purchase. The question of what exactly constitutes "reversibility" is a bit murky, as we may see computers which have some components that are reversible. Here are a few criteria I consider important: * The computer is marketed as "reversible" or "adiabatic" * Media reports and experts unaffiliated with the manufacturer fail to dispute that the computer is reversible * The main computational units of the computer are more energy-efficient than we would expect analogous parts of a non-reversible computer to be. [1]: https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Reversible_computing [2]: https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Adiabatic_circuit [3]: https://youtu.be/rVmZTGeIwnc?t=231

This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.

#️ Technology

Get

1,000

and

3.00

Related questions

Who will release a GPT-4o comparable model in 2024?

Will a novel computing medium enter consumer electronics by EYO 2030?

Will we develop a commercial computer to brain interface by 2028?

Will Non-invasive Brain Computer Interfaces Become Common By 2040?

Will a complex nanoscale self-replicating assembler be developed before 2040?

Will a fully functional brain-computer interface be commercially available by 2030?

Will a reliable source reveal the existence of a zettascale computer before 2025?

Will most computers still run on silicon-based hardware in 2100?

Will Brain-Computer interfaces be widespread by 2035?

Will the first optical computer be sold on the consumer market before 2025?

Related questions

Who will release a GPT-4o comparable model in 2024?

Will a fully functional brain-computer interface be commercially available by 2030?

Will a novel computing medium enter consumer electronics by EYO 2030?

Will a reliable source reveal the existence of a zettascale computer before 2025?

Will we develop a commercial computer to brain interface by 2028?

Will most computers still run on silicon-based hardware in 2100?

Will Non-invasive Brain Computer Interfaces Become Common By 2040?

Will Brain-Computer interfaces be widespread by 2035?

Will a complex nanoscale self-replicating assembler be developed before 2040?

Will the first optical computer be sold on the consumer market before 2025?

© Manifold Markets, Inc.•Terms + Mana-only Terms•Privacy•Rules