Will the mean answers get a better Brier score than the median answers of Blind Mode participants in the ACX 2023 prediction contest?
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190Ṁ601resolved Jan 4
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Manifold has a group for questions from the 2023 ACX contest. Scott has released the answers of blind mode participants in this post. Once all markets in the linked group have resolved, this market will resolve according to whether the mean answers have a lower (better) Brier score than the median answers from the data in the linked post.
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@jack Sorry, the manifold predictions don't factor into this one at all - it's the blind mode mean vs blind mode median.
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