🏅 Top traders

This year's version: https://manifold.markets/jim/will-jim-outperform-bayesian-in-for?r=amlt

bayesian: 57th

jim: 153rd

resolves NO

The current placings are jim rank 141 bayesian rank 47

But there are still a couple questions left to resolve and there's an issue with the spot scoring date on a handful of questions

I think bayesian is 100% to win at this point

But like we both did pretty well considering there were 4500 participants. We're both currently placed high enough to get cash prizes

Extended close date as results are still unknown.

@jim what’s your preliminary position

@Bayesian resolves "no".

@Bayesian are you throwing the competition?

@snazzlePop what no? it already happened in the first 3 days of the market getting created and i tried my best (at the degree of effort i used, which wasn't high)

@jim fill me at 50%

@jim I have a current score of 258 btw

@Bayesian I lost all my mana betting that having a trans girlfriend didn't make a guy gay, now I'm broke

@Bayesian What's happening 👀

i think i'm doing well on it. mostly less confident than the aggregate. I reckon jim will be overconfident and wrong on a few of them plausibly

@Bayesian fuck off this is my timeline

@jim If ur just selling to spend the money elsewhere u could have gotten a better price

order up

@jim same

@Bayesian suddenly worried?

@jim i seek better prices because I like manas

@Bayesian but 25% is better prices. People were happy to buy this down to 15%

@Bayesian

@jim and yet you didn't buy it up when that low. curious. maybe you don't really believe in yourself that much. otherwise you would forsure fill me at 50%.

😠

ah if you're only 49% sure i'm willing to drop the limit order to 48%. that's as low as i'm willing to go tho, credence being 47% and all

order up