
Resolves YES if a SpaceX is paid to launch something into orbit, and it successfully does this with Starship.
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https://twitter.com/NASASpaceflight/status/1740721600805441661
Busy Starbase! The road is closed. Orbital Launch Site is preparing for Booster 10 Static Fire. We'll be live commentary for that.
29 Dec 2023
After static fire:
Close mishap investigation, complete any required remediations and documentation, get launch licence, first full stack, install FTS, get road closure, marine NGA, NOTAMs & TFRs, and almost certainly lots more not mentioned above all happening in time for launch 31 December? Just no way all that is going to happen in 3 days let alone when 2 are on a holiday weekend.
Think it can be resolved no. @BoltonBailey
In yesterday's twitter spaces Elon said that he'd like to fly a ship where they can test reentry, so they're considering flying S28 next, but the decision has not been made. He also said that he still expects to fly 3 or 4 ships this year.
IIRC S28 has a payload slot, so those are signals that would point to Yes.
On the other hand, even if they fly S28, he said they'll probably fly it on the same almost-orbital trajectory as last attempt, so that wouldn't make it likely that they put something into orbit.