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MANIFOLD
Will Lean have proved the most theorems on Freek's list by beginning of 2024?
21
Ṁ300Ṁ1.6k
resolved Jan 1
Resolved
NO

This resolves YES if, on December 31st 2023, Lean (or Lean 4) is at the top of the list of theorem provers maintained on Freek's website. This site will be used as the resolution source, but if the site can't be accessed for some reason at that time, I'll use the most recent version on the internet archive.

Sep 27, 2:14pm: If Lean is tied for 1st, I will resolve to 50%.

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Multi choice market for the end of 2025:

If Lean is tied for first place, how will this resolve?

@NicholasCharette73b6 Good question. I'll update the description.