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MANIFOLD
Which theorems will be officially formally proven in Lean by the end of 2028?
40
Ṁ450Ṁ3.6k
2028
99.2%
Pi is Transcendental
99%
Fermat’s Last Theorem
98.7%
Infinitude of prime pairs w/ gap ≤ 246
98.5%
The Independence of the Parallel Postulate
98.4%
Pick's theorem
98%
The Number of Platonic Solids
98%
Navier–Stokes existence and smoothness (unbounded) counterexample
95%
Irrationality of Apéry's constant
95%
Jordan–Brouwer separation theorem
93%
Kuratowski's theorem
82%
CFSG
80%
The Four Color Theorem
68%
Hodge conjecture
64%
15 and 290 Theorems
63%
Goldbach's weak conjecture
58%
Poincaré conjecture
50%
There exists n such that the value of BusyBeaver(n) is undecidable in ZFC
12%
Navier–Stokes existence and smoothness (unbounded) (positive)

Resolution Criteria

This market resolves YES for each theorem that is formally proven in Lean by December 31, 2028, 11:59 PM UTC. A theorem is considered "formally proven" when a complete, verified proof exists in the Lean theorem prover's main library or in a publicly accessible repository that has been merged or accepted by the Lean community.

Background

Lean is an open-source theorem prover and programming language. It allows mathematicians to formally verify proofs of mathematical theorems using computer assistance. The Lean Mathematical Library (mathlib) is a community-driven effort to formalize mathematics in Lean.

As of 2023, many important theorems have already been formalized in Lean, but several significant results remain unproven in this system. The Lean community maintains a list of "100 missing theorems" that they aim to formalize, and many more theorems are tracked by the 1000+ theorems project.

Further Notes

When posting an open question, please try to indicate whether you are asking about positive or negative resolution. I will seek to resolve ambiguities in the direction of the most plausible single formulation of the theorem at the time of answer creation.

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