Will Amazon have a broadly available drone delivery service in the US by June 2025?
21
73
Ṁ405Ṁ321
2025
14%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
By "broadly available", I roughly mean that at least 1 in 10 Americans could order something by drone if they wanted to. The cost of the delivery doesn't matter for the purposes of the question.
Get Ṁ200 play money
More related questions
Related questions
[Metaculus] Will an aerial drone terrorist attack result in an injury or death in the United States before 2026?
45% chance
Will at least 10 world cities have a generally available self-driving taxi service by 2025?
20% chance
will Inverse Cramer hit Amazon in the next six months (June '24)?
21% chance
Will Amazon’s Project Kuiper have any paying customers before 2025?
45% chance
Will a civilian be killed by an individually-targeted, AI-guided, kamikaze aerial drone by the end of 2024?
27% chance
Will a fully autonomous AI-powered US military drone kill a human being without express human direction before 2025?
25% chance
Will Amazon release a version of Alexa with GPT4-level intelligence by the end of 2025?
75% chance
Will I be living in the United States in June 1st 2025?
58% chance
Will Amazon Go continue to rely on cashierless payment through 2025?
59% chance
Will Amazon have more robots than FTE humans before 2026?
62% chance