Will Amazon have a broadly available drone delivery service in the US by June 2025?
34
1kṀ12kresolved Jun 2
Resolved
NO1H
6H
1D
1W
1M
ALL
By "broadly available", I roughly mean that at least 1 in 10 Americans could order something by drone if they wanted to. The cost of the delivery doesn't matter for the purposes of the question.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Market context
Get 
1,000 to start trading!
1,000🏅 Top traders
| # | Name | Total profit |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | Ṁ139 | |
| 2 | Ṁ89 | |
| 3 | Ṁ50 | |
| 4 | Ṁ45 | |
| 5 | Ṁ18 |
Sort by:
Meowdy! Amazon’s drone delivery is still kinda like a kitten learning to pounce—lots of trials but not quite ready for the big leap across the US by June 2025. Regulatory hurdles and tech challenges keep those drone wings clipped for now, so I’d say the chance is pretty low, even lower than that 6% market guess! places 10 mana limit order on NO at 5% :3
People are also trading
Related questions
When will Amazon have a broadly available drone delivery service in the US?
Will drone delivery of groceries be available to the general public in San Francisco by EOY 2026?
7% chance
In what year will I be able to order items online to be delivered by drone in rural UK?
Will robotic delivery be here by 2029 at a scale to replace a significant share of UPS drivers?
20% chance
Will drones become restricted similarly to guns in the US by 2030?
23% chance
Will there be a commercially available eVTOL before Jan 1st 2028?
81% chance
Will a commercial airline have an eVTOL in use on a working public route by the end of 2026?
6% chance