Will drone delivery of groceries be available to the general public in San Francisco by EOY 2026?
9
100Ṁ353
2027
7%
chance

Resolution Criteria This market will resolve YES if all of the following conditions are met by December 31, 2026:

  • A drone delivery service for groceries is publicly available to general consumers (not just beta testers) within San Francisco city limits

  • The service is operational and accepting orders (not just announced or in testing)

  • Customers can place orders through a public-facing app or website

Details:

  • This market resolves YES if drone delivery is available to some, but not all, addresses within San Francisco.

  • This market resolves YES if at least 20 SKUs are offered for delivery that are identical or equivalent to SKUs carried by a grocery store or convenience store.

  • This market resolves NO if the general public cannot sign up for the app, and it's not just gated on location but on invitation/waitlist.

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