Will ACX Bot make markets for the predictions in the "Five More Years" SSC post?
13
3
182
resolved Feb 16
Resolved
NO
In 2018, Scott Alexander wrote the post "Five More Years" on the Slate Star Codex Blog https://slatestarcodex.com/2018/02/15/five-more-years/, in which he made "predictions to be graded on 2/15/2023". Will the account ACX Bot make prediction markets for those predictions (or at least for most of those predictions for which the outcome isn't already known). Resolves "Yes" if the account makes these markets. Resolves "No" if the account doesn't make the markets before 2/15/2023, or the person behind the account indicates in a comment somewhere that they won't do it.
Get Ṁ200 play money

🏅 Top traders

#NameTotal profit
1Ṁ25
2Ṁ18
3Ṁ15
4Ṁ10
5Ṁ9
Sort by:
bought Ṁ10 of NO
I don't think creating markets 85% of the way through the duration is particularly useful.
@ACXBot