Will ACX Bot make markets for the predictions in the "Five More Years" SSC post?
13
182Ṁ1010resolved Feb 16
Resolved
NO1H
6H
1D
1W
1M
ALL
In 2018, Scott Alexander wrote the post "Five More Years" on the Slate Star Codex Blog https://slatestarcodex.com/2018/02/15/five-more-years/, in which he made "predictions to be graded on 2/15/2023". Will the account ACX Bot make prediction markets for those predictions (or at least for most of those predictions for which the outcome isn't already known). Resolves "Yes" if the account makes these markets. Resolves "No" if the account doesn't make the markets before 2/15/2023, or the person behind the account indicates in a comment somewhere that they won't do it.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get 
1,000 to start trading!
1,000🏅 Top traders
| # | Name | Total profit |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | Ṁ25 | |
| 2 | Ṁ18 | |
| 3 | Ṁ15 | |
| 4 | Ṁ10 | |
| 5 | Ṁ9 |
Sort by:
People are also trading
Related questions
Will X integrate with any prediction market by the end of the 2025?
88% chance
Will Citadel start a prediction market making desk by the midterms?
17% chance
Will X/Twitter have a prediction market functionality by the end of 2030?
58% chance
Will this market be influenced by AI trading bots? (Language models trained by OpenAI: buy YES)
50% chance