Will there be an October surprise? [Read Definition]
Standard
15
Ṁ1466Nov 1
47%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
Resolves YES if a major story or development affecting one candidate or the other is attributed to a shift in their 538 polling average of 1% or more one week after the event.
The attribution must appear in two or more of the top 10 most popular news sources. It can be presented with caveats such as, “some are attributing __ to…”
Get
1,000
and1.00
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