A "state of emergency" empowers a government to enact policies not normally permitted in order to provide public safety. It can be declared before, during or after a natural disaster, civil unrest, armed, conflict, medical pandemic or epidemic or other biosecurity risk. (wikipedia)
In the US, state emergency declarations are separate from federal emergency declarations, and are issued by the governor of the state for a specific duration.
Resolution:
Resolves YES if no State of Emergency Declaration beginning in 2025 is issued by the governor of the relevant state
Resolves NO if a state emergency declaration is issued and posted on the official government website for the state and/or here:
https://www.fmcsa.dot.gov/emergency-declarations#by-State
NOTE: this list also includes "hour of service waivers", more narrowly written to permit the transport of restricted materials such as home heating oil under emergency conditions. These do not count as State of Emergency Declarations.
Resolves N/A if the state has already declared a state of emergency in 2025 (see list below).
Already excluded as of market creation (15 Jan 2025). Will resolve N/A if added:
California (wildfire)
Georgia (winter storm)
Kansas (winter storm)
Maryland (winter storm)
Missouri (winter storm)
New Hampshire (winter storm)
South Carolina (winter storm)
Tennessee (winter storm)
West Virginia (winter storm)
See comments for NO resolutions as states of emergency are called.
Update 2025-20-01 (PST): - Alabama has been excluded from consideration due to a disaster declaration for winter weather. If added, Alabama will resolve to N/A. (AI summary of creator comment)
Update 2025-02-17 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): Kentucky State Emergency Declaration Update
An official state emergency declaration related to a winter weather event has been issued for Kentucky.
Documentation: Executive Order
This update confirms that Kentucky meets the criteria for a state that has issued a state emergency declaration in 2025.
Update 2025-02-23 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): New York State Update:
Declaration Status: New York has declared a state of emergency and will resolve as N/A (positions including New York should not be created).
Update 2025-03-02 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): Nebraska Update
Nebraska has now added a state emergency declaration and will resolve as N/A.
Positions including Nebraska should not be created.
Update 2025-03-24 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): New Jersey Update:
An official state emergency declaration has been announced (as shown in the linked news release).
Positions including New Jersey should not be created.
Per the resolution criteria, if a state emergency declaration is issued and posted on the official website, that state will resolve as N/A.
Update 2026-01-02 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): The creator intends to resolve the remaining markets YES (meaning those states did NOT declare a state of emergency in 2025) unless traders can provide evidence of an emergency declaration signed by a governor for any remaining state. Traders should post such evidence as soon as possible.
Note: Heating oil transport exemptions do not count as emergency declarations.
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@traders this was harder than expected to research. I’m inclined to resolve the remaining markets YES. Please post ASAP if you can find an emergency declaration (not just a heating oil transport exemption) signed by a governor for any of the remaining states.
@BlueDragon for what it’s worth I did my googling before buying them up. Always possible I missed something though
Buncha fat-fingering before i got this resolved, sorry.
@BlueDragon was approximately 20 miles from the path of the tornado that destroyed much of Walthall County and so far is the only reported EF-3 in Mississippi from Saturday. Somehow I didn’t lose power, and the house didn’t take any damage. Storms were wild that day, though.
@traders I’ve added all the states that still have no emergency declarations (to my knowledge). However I am not confident I have resolved all I can.
I haven’t always been able to rely on FMCSA as a resolution source. It’s hard to track updates and also they are clearly lagging, possibly due to widespread paralysis in the Federal Government since the beginning of the current administration. Official government websites, either for the emergency management agency or the governor, have been more reliable.
If you see any resolutions I’ve missed, please post, and thanks 🙏🏼 😊.