UNEXCITEMENT ATLAS: Which US States will NOT declare a state of emergency in 2025? [ ADD STATES ]
18
850Ṁ4168
2026
78%
Massachusetts
76%
Maine
75%
Delaware
69%
Utah
66%
Arizona
66%
Rhode Island
66%
Indiana
65%
Illinois
50%
Connecticut
50%
Idaho
50%
Wisconsin
50%
South Dakota
50%
New Mexico
49%
Vermont
42%
Pennsylvania
40%
Colorado
34%
Montana
31%
Hawaii
28%
North Dakota
25%
Ohio

A "state of emergency" empowers a government to enact policies not normally permitted in order to provide public safety. It can be declared before, during or after a natural disaster, civil unrest, armed, conflict, medical pandemic or epidemic or other biosecurity risk. (wikipedia)

In the US, state emergency declarations are separate from federal emergency declarations, and are issued by the governor of the state for a specific duration.

Resolution:

  • Resolves YES if no State of Emergency Declaration beginning in 2025 is issued by the governor of the relevant state

  • Resolves NO if a state emergency declaration is issued and posted on the official government website for the state and/or here:
    https://www.fmcsa.dot.gov/emergency-declarations#by-State

NOTE: this list also includes "hour of service waivers", more narrowly written to permit the transport of restricted materials such as home heating oil under emergency conditions. These do not count as State of Emergency Declarations.

  • Resolves N/A if the state has already declared a state of emergency in 2025 (see list below).


Already excluded as of market creation (15 Jan 2025). Will resolve N/A if added:
California (wildfire)

Georgia (winter storm)

Kansas (winter storm)

Maryland (winter storm)
Missouri (winter storm)

New Hampshire (winter storm)

South Carolina (winter storm)

Tennessee (winter storm)

West Virginia (winter storm)

  • Update 2025-20-01 (PST): - Alabama has been excluded from consideration due to a disaster declaration for winter weather. If added, Alabama will resolve to N/A. (AI summary of creator comment)

  • Update 2025-02-17 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): Kentucky State Emergency Declaration Update

    • An official state emergency declaration related to a winter weather event has been issued for Kentucky.

    • Documentation: Executive Order

    • This update confirms that Kentucky meets the criteria for a state that has issued a state emergency declaration in 2025.

  • Update 2025-02-23 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): New York State Update:

    • Declaration Status: New York has declared a state of emergency and will resolve as N/A (positions including New York should not be created).

  • Update 2025-03-02 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): Nebraska Update

    • Nebraska has now added a state emergency declaration and will resolve as N/A.

    • Positions including Nebraska should not be created.

  • Update 2025-03-24 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): New Jersey Update:

    • An official state emergency declaration has been announced (as shown in the linked news release).

    • Positions including New Jersey should not be created.

    • Per the resolution criteria, if a state emergency declaration is issued and posted on the official website, that state will resolve as N/A.

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@BlueDragon was approximately 20 miles from the path of the tornado that destroyed much of Walthall County and so far is the only reported EF-3 in Mississippi from Saturday. Somehow I didn’t lose power, and the house didn’t take any damage. Storms were wild that day, though.

@LBeesley 😱 yikes!! Glad you are ok!!!

oops I missed one!

Researched further and resolved NA. Disaster declaration issued before market creation.

reposted

@traders I’ve added all the states that still have no emergency declarations (to my knowledge). However I am not confident I have resolved all I can.

I haven’t always been able to rely on FMCSA as a resolution source. It’s hard to track updates and also they are clearly lagging, possibly due to widespread paralysis in the Federal Government since the beginning of the current administration. Official government websites, either for the emergency management agency or the governor, have been more reliable.

If you see any resolutions I’ve missed, please post, and thanks 🙏🏼 😊.

Nebraska added a state of emergency, don’t create / resolves NA:

https://nema.nebraska.gov/articles.php?nid=294

opened a Ṁ10 YES at 20% order
reposted

Edit: states with no markets / no known disaster declaration moved to description.

sold Ṁ223 NO

Florida, Virginia, and Louisiana can resolve NO, I think (winter weather for all three)

Disaster declaration today for Alabama (winter weather). Excluded from consideration since it hadn’t been added yet (if added will resolve NA)

reposted

Things seem too exciting in the US lately. Help me guess where there WON'T be any major calamities this year.

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