UNEXCITEMENT ATLAS: Which US States will NOT declare a state of emergency in 2025? [ ADD STATES ]
13
675Ṁ3388
2026
80%
Delaware
72%
Ohio
72%
Utah
66%
Massachusetts
66%
Arizona
66%
Indiana
65%
Illinois
54%
Mississippi
50%
Oregon
50%
Connecticut
50%
Rhode Island
50%
Idaho
50%
Maine
49%
Vermont
42%
Pennsylvania
40%
Oklahoma
40%
Colorado
34%
Michigan
34%
Montana
31%
Hawaii

A "state of emergency" empowers a government to enact policies not normally permitted in order to provide public safety. It can be declared before, during or after a natural disaster, civil unrest, armed, conflict, medical pandemic or epidemic or other biosecurity risk. (wikipedia)

In the US, state emergency declarations are separate from federal emergency declarations, and are issued by the governor of the state for a specific duration.

Resolution:

  • Resolves YES if no State of Emergency Declaration beginning in 2025 is issued by the governor of the relevant state

  • Resolves NO if a state emergency declaration is issued and posted on the official government website for the state and/or here:
    https://www.fmcsa.dot.gov/emergency-declarations#by-State

NOTE: this list also includes "hour of service waivers", more narrowly written to permit the transport of restricted materials such as home heating oil under emergency conditions. These do not count as State of Emergency Declarations.

  • Resolves N/A if the state has already declared a state of emergency in 2025 (see list below).


Already excluded as of market creation (15 Jan 2025):
California (wildfire)

Georgia (winter storm)

Maryland (winter storm)
Missouri (winter storm)

New Hampshire (winter storm)

South Carolina (winter storm)

Tennessee (winter storm)

West Virginia (winter storm)

  • Update 2025-20-01 (PST): - Alabama has been excluded from consideration due to a disaster declaration for winter weather. If added, Alabama will resolve to N/A. (AI summary of creator comment)

  • Update 2025-02-17 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): Kentucky State Emergency Declaration Update

    • An official state emergency declaration related to a winter weather event has been issued for Kentucky.

    • Documentation: Executive Order

    • This update confirms that Kentucky meets the criteria for a state that has issued a state emergency declaration in 2025.

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opened a Ṁ10 YES at 20% order
reposted

States with no markets (yet). Feel free to create!

• Montana

• Nebraska

• New Jersey

• New Mexico

• New York

• North Dakota

• South Dakota

• Wisconsin

sold Ṁ223 NO

Florida, Virginia, and Louisiana can resolve NO, I think (winter weather for all three)

Disaster declaration today for Alabama (winter weather). Excluded from consideration since it hadn’t been added yet (if added will resolve NA)

reposted

Things seem too exciting in the US lately. Help me guess where there WON'T be any major calamities this year.

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