UNEXCITEMENT ATLAS: Which US States will NOT declare a state of emergency in 2025? [ ADD STATES ]
20
850Ṁ4765
2026
76%
Maine
71%
Alaska
70%
Wyoming
66%
Connecticut
66%
Rhode Island
65%
Illinois
62%
Massachusetts
50%
Arizona
50%
Idaho
50%
South Dakota
49%
Vermont
42%
Pennsylvania
40%
Colorado
36%
Indiana
35%
Delaware
34%
Montana
31%
Hawaii
25%
Ohio
20%
Nevada
Resolved
N/A
Kansas

A "state of emergency" empowers a government to enact policies not normally permitted in order to provide public safety. It can be declared before, during or after a natural disaster, civil unrest, armed, conflict, medical pandemic or epidemic or other biosecurity risk. (wikipedia)

In the US, state emergency declarations are separate from federal emergency declarations, and are issued by the governor of the state for a specific duration.

Resolution:

  • Resolves YES if no State of Emergency Declaration beginning in 2025 is issued by the governor of the relevant state

  • Resolves NO if a state emergency declaration is issued and posted on the official government website for the state and/or here:
    https://www.fmcsa.dot.gov/emergency-declarations#by-State

NOTE: this list also includes "hour of service waivers", more narrowly written to permit the transport of restricted materials such as home heating oil under emergency conditions. These do not count as State of Emergency Declarations.

  • Resolves N/A if the state has already declared a state of emergency in 2025 (see list below).


Already excluded as of market creation (15 Jan 2025). Will resolve N/A if added:
California (wildfire)

Georgia (winter storm)

Kansas (winter storm)

Maryland (winter storm)
Missouri (winter storm)

New Hampshire (winter storm)

South Carolina (winter storm)

Tennessee (winter storm)

West Virginia (winter storm)

See comments for NO resolutions as states of emergency are called.

  • Update 2025-20-01 (PST): - Alabama has been excluded from consideration due to a disaster declaration for winter weather. If added, Alabama will resolve to N/A. (AI summary of creator comment)

  • Update 2025-02-17 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): Kentucky State Emergency Declaration Update

    • An official state emergency declaration related to a winter weather event has been issued for Kentucky.

    • Documentation: Executive Order

    • This update confirms that Kentucky meets the criteria for a state that has issued a state emergency declaration in 2025.

  • Update 2025-02-23 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): New York State Update:

    • Declaration Status: New York has declared a state of emergency and will resolve as N/A (positions including New York should not be created).

  • Update 2025-03-02 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): Nebraska Update

    • Nebraska has now added a state emergency declaration and will resolve as N/A.

    • Positions including Nebraska should not be created.

  • Update 2025-03-24 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): New Jersey Update:

    • An official state emergency declaration has been announced (as shown in the linked news release).

    • Positions including New Jersey should not be created.

    • Per the resolution criteria, if a state emergency declaration is issued and posted on the official website, that state will resolve as N/A.

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