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MANIFOLD
If Kamala Harris is elected, will 3 million new homes be built by the end of her first term?
27
Ṁ1kṀ3.9k
resolved Nov 9
100%90%
Kamala Harris won’t be elected
7%
Yes
3%
No

Kamala Harris made this campaign promise this week.

https://nlihc.org/resource/harris-campaign-releases-plans-lower-housing-costs

Resolved based on US Census Bureau Housing Survey:

https://www.census.gov/econ/currentdata/

  • New residential construction

  • Completed units

  • 2025 to 2028

  • Total Units

  • United States

Trends and totals for the last 4 years:

https://www.census.gov/econ/currentdata/?programCode=RESCONST&startYear=2021&endYear=2024&categories%5B%5D=COMPLETIONS&dataType=TOTAL&geoLevel=US&adjusted=0&notAdjusted=1&errorData=0#line095

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@mods please na ♥️ thx

@BlueDragon given that "Kamala harris won't be elected" is an option, wouldn't it resolve to that? Otherwise that option should have been bought down to 0 before the election, which it wasn't

@Bayesian Oh right, thanks

Am I missing something or does the linked data show that we've been building significantly more than the promised amount?

@Enlil That’s what I see too