Resolution criteria

This market will resolve to "Yes" if, by December 31, 2025, Elon Musk publicly and explicitly calls for the impeachment of President Donald Trump. Acceptable forms of public statements include:

• Posts on Musk's verified social media accounts (e.g., X, formerly Twitter)

• Official press releases or public statements attributed to Musk

• Verifiable statements made by Musk during interviews or public appearances

The statement must clearly advocate for President Trump's impeachment. If no such statement is made by the specified date, the market will resolve to "No."

Background

On June 5, 2025, Elon Musk publicly called for President Donald Trump's impeachment via posts on X (formerly Twitter). This escalation followed Trump's threat to cancel billions of dollars in government contracts with Musk's companies, including SpaceX. The fallout marks a dramatic collapse in their previously cooperative relationship, which had remained relatively stable for the past six months. (axios.com)

The conflict underscores growing tensions between key political and business figures and the volatility of their alliances. Right-wing influencers like Ian Miles Cheong have backed Musk, even suggesting Trump's replacement by JD Vance. (axios.com)

Considerations

• Verification of Statements: Only statements directly attributed to Elon Musk will be considered for resolution. Third-party reports or interpretations without direct evidence will not suffice.

• Ambiguity in Language: If Musk's statements are ambiguous or do not explicitly call for impeachment, the market will resolve to "No."

• Timing: Statements made after December 31, 2025, will not affect the market's resolution.

• Retractions: If Musk makes a qualifying statement but later retracts it before the resolution date, the market will still resolve to "Yes," provided the initial statement met all criteria.

• Source Reliability: Only statements from reputable and verifiable sources will be considered.

Traders should monitor Musk's public communications and reputable news outlets for any developments related to this market.

• Update 2025-06-06 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): The creator has announced their intention to resolve this market to N/A. Please see the creator's linked comment for their reasoning.