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MANIFOLD
πŸ—³οΈ πŸ‡΅πŸ‡° How many seats will PTI win in the February 8 General Election in Pakistan?
3
αΉ€160αΉ€290
resolved Feb 9
100%91%
< 120
5%
120 - 150
2%
151 - 169
2%Other

PTI is the party of Imran Kahn. They won 149 seats in the last election, however A LOT has happened since then.

169 seats are required for a majority.

More info:

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/2024_Pakistani_general_election

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Al Jazeera reported that 91 seats were won by PTI affiliated candidates. Even if the remaining 16 unresolved seats were all won by PTI, it would be > 120. Resolving accordingly.

Ayayay. Scratch that. We will resolve based on An Jazeera. It may take some time. https://www.aljazeera.com/news/liveblog/2024/2/9/pakistan-election-results-2024-live-tight-race-as-vote-results-trickle-in

I will resolve this based on the official election results, which will be highly contested.

Extending the close time through today. It’s still anyone’s guess how many seats PTI will get.

Live coverage:

https://www.aljazeera.com/news/liveblog/2024/2/8/pakistan-election-results-2024-live-counting-of-votes-under-way

reposted

Last chance to place bets!

reposted

Only two more days to place bets on the election in Pakistan.