Wild Honey Bees functionally extinct in the USA by 2030?
3
100Ṁ77
2029
24%
chance

This market will resolve to "Yes" if, by December 31, 2030, wild honey bee populations are declared functionally extinct in the USA by a reputable scientific organization or governmental body. "Functionally extinct" is defined as a species whose population has declined to the point where it can no longer play a significant role in its ecosystem or sustain a viable population. Official declarations from organizations such as the International Union for Conservation of Nature (IUCN) or the U.S. Fish and Wildlife Service will serve as the primary sources for resolution. If no such declaration is made by the specified date, the market will resolve to "No."

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