In 2028, will AI be at least as big a political issue as abortion?
Will AI be a major topic during the 2024 presidential debates in the United States?
Will an AI system be known to have resisted shutdown before 2024?
Will it be public knowledge by EOY 2025 that a major AI lab believed to have created AGI internally before October 2023?
Will a parrot explain the risk of AI before 2026?
Will anyone very famous claim to have made an important life decision because an AI suggested it by the end of 2023?
Will Tyler Cowen agree that an 'actual mathematical model' for AI X-Risk has been developed by October 15, 2023?
Will AI outcompete best humans in competitive programming before the end of 2023?
Will Science's Top Breakthrough of the Year in 2023 be AI-related?
In a year, will I think that risk of AI apocalypse is between 1 and 10%?
Will a leading AI organization in the United States be the target of an anti-AI attack or protest by the end of 2023?
Will a member of Congress be caught giving a speech generated by AI by Dec. 31?
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Will there have been a noticeable sector-wide economic effect from a new AI technology by the end of 2023?
Will I observe significant Negative Polarization around AI generated art in 2023?
By 2028, will there be a visible break in trend line on US GDP, GDP per capita, unemployment, or productivity, which most economists attribute directly to the effects of AI?
Will Biden sign an executive order primarily focused on AI in 2023?
In 2028, will traditional Big Tech be clearly ahead of AI-specific companies in AI technology?
Will an AI be granted legal personhood in any country by end of 2030?
🐕 Will A.I. Be Able to Make Significantly Better, "Common Sense Judgements About What Happens Next," by End of 2023?
Will the left/right culture war come for AI before the end of 2023?