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Will Elon Musk be worth more than $1 Trillion, on June 12th, the IPO date of Spacex?
78
Ṁ1kṀ28k
resolved Jun 12
Resolved
YES

This market will resolve based on Elon Musk's net worth as reported by Forbes and Bloomberg.

If both of these sources agree that Elon Musk has a net worth of greater than or equal to $1 trillion on June 12th this resolves Yes.

This market will include after market updates that happen before the beginning of the next trading day.

References for resolution:
Elon Musk

Bloomberg - Are you a robot?

  • Update 2026-06-12 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): Both Forbes and Bloomberg must show Elon Musk's net worth at ≥$1 trillion at the same time (not just individually at any point before the deadline).

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forbes realtime $1.1 trillion

@brianwang Bloomberg still just $971B though. Will have to wait for an after market updated from them and see what they show.

@BorisBartlog Yes Bloomberg only update once per day. That $971B for yesterday had jumped up a lot from ~790?B previously. Bloomberg at 971B was just slightly lower than Forbes at 982B and as that is so close so we can be fairly sure that both were based on SpaceX IPO price of $135.

so I expect Bloomberg to update to around $11B less than Forbes. That might get lost in the rounding.

$135 price gives a market cap of 1.765B and Musk owns about 42% so that is likely to allow an accurate enough estimate once the market closes.

@BorisBartlog Bloomberg updated. Per the rules this counts as it's not the next trading day.

@BillClintonBubba

If both of these sources agree that Elon Musk has a net worth of greater than or equal to $1 trillion on June 12th this resolves Yes.

Does this require both sources to agree at the same time? Or is it just as long as both individually show Elon Musk at $1 Trillion sometime before the deadline?

@Dssc agree at same time.

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