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MANIFOLD
Will Gustavo Petro face a criminal trial before January 1, 2027?
3
Ṁ100Ṁ44
Dec 31
53%
chance

Several investigations and allegations surrounding Petro's administration could potentially lead to criminal proceedings. This market focuses on a later stage of the legal process: whether Petro actually faces a criminal trial before the end of 2026.

The market does not ask whether he will be investigated or charged, but whether a criminal trial formally begins.

Resolution criteria:

  • YES: If Gustavo Petro formally enters a criminal trial before January 1, 2027, following the initiation of judicial proceedings against him.

  • NO: If no criminal trial begins before that date.

Investigations, complaints, preliminary hearings, or formal charges alone do not qualify.

A hearing or procedural step will only qualify if it is officially part of a criminal trial.


Resolution sources: Official court records and reputable reporting.

Deadline: December 31, 2026.

Market context
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