Several investigations and allegations surrounding Petro's administration could potentially lead to criminal proceedings. This market focuses on a later stage of the legal process: whether Petro actually faces a criminal trial before the end of 2026.
The market does not ask whether he will be investigated or charged, but whether a criminal trial formally begins.
Resolution criteria:
YES: If Gustavo Petro formally enters a criminal trial before January 1, 2027, following the initiation of judicial proceedings against him.
NO: If no criminal trial begins before that date.
Investigations, complaints, preliminary hearings, or formal charges alone do not qualify.
A hearing or procedural step will only qualify if it is officially part of a criminal trial.
Resolution sources: Official court records and reputable reporting.
Deadline: December 31, 2026.