On June 1, 2025, Ukraine executed 'Operation Spider's Web,' a large-scale drone strike targeting Russian air bases deep within Russian territory. (axios.com) This operation involved covertly deploying drones from within Russia, marking a significant escalation in Ukraine's military tactics. This market resolves to 'Yes' if Ukraine conducts another similar covert operation targeting Russian military assets before 2026. Resolution will be based on credible reports from reputable news outlets.
Update 2025-06-02 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): The scale of a 'similar covert operation' is not a determining factor for resolution. An operation qualifies regardless of its scale, provided it meets the other criteria outlined in the market description (such as being covert, Trojan-style, targeting Russian military assets, and reported by credible news sources).
Update 2025-12-30 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): Multiple sources required: While the original description states "credible reports from reputable news outlets," resolution requires multiple sources, not just one credible report.
The market may be extended by a couple months to allow time for additional reports to emerge if needed.
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@AlexanderTheGreater The lack of a previous resolution, as seen in the below comments, was just based on only one outlet being posted and the description requiring plural. So I shared a separate outlet's story. Some markets just slip through the cracks and I think this was one of them.
@StepanBakhmarin even though I incline to believe this report, effectively this is only one source, while criteria require multiple.
I think I should extend the market for a couple months in case reports appear later.
@Berg https://kyivindependent.com/ukraine-strikes-russian-su-30-su-27-fighter-jets-in-russias-lipetsk-oblast-intelligence-says/
Different byline, similar article, same story, counts as "outlets" plural, correct?
