Will it turn out that LastPass is easier to hack than claimed?
16
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360
resolved Jan 3
Resolved
NO

For concreteness: this page claims that, if your master password is 50 bits of entropy and you used 100,100 iterations, it would cost $1.5 million to crack. This market will resolve as true if there is credible information that it would cost less than $10,000 to crack such a vault.

This includes things like "LastPass employees secretly had access to everyone's vaults and hackers got access through that back door". It does not include "some people had really short passwords and few iterations so their vaults were easy to crack."

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predicted NO

No evidence has emerged of LastPass being substantially easier to hack than claimed. There are some reports of passwords being stolen from LastPass, but the reports are all consistent with only customers with low entropy/iteration settings being affected. Resolving this as "no"

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