What counts as "SpaceX branded"? Does this include NASA mission flying on SpaceX rockets, for example?

@EvanDaniel https://www.metaculus.com/questions/349/spacex-lands-people-on-mars-by-2030/ "A "SpaceX-branded" mission is defined to mean that the SpaceX-associated logos on the spacecraft involved (both the boosters and the Mars-bound craft) have a larger surface area than the logos of any other entity"

https://manifold.markets/BenjaminIkuta/will-a-spacexbranded-mission-land-p-daec0672de1c

Will a SpaceX-branded mission land people on Mars prior to Jan 1, 2060?

55% chance.