Resolution criteria

This market resolves YES if there are "huge" protests in Indonesia before September 1, 2026. Resolution will be determined by whether major news outlets report large-scale demonstrations involving thousands of participants or significant disruption across multiple cities (more than one city with same agenda). The market creator will assess whether protests meet the threshold of "huge" based on scale, geographic spread, and media coverage at the time of resolution.

Background

Indonesia experienced hundreds of thousands of people protesting in multiple cities nationwide in August 2025 over low wages and unemployment after the government announced additional perks for lawmakers. President Prabowo Subianto adopted policies in 2025 that benefitted military officers and lawmakers, generating widespread opposition and public protests. Indonesian trade unions organized nationwide protests in late December 2025 against a newly introduced government regulation on wages, following the approval by President Prabowo Subianto on December 17. Protesters in Indonesia have rallied against the US-Israeli war on Iran, denouncing their government's ties to the US.

Considerations

Some sleeper agents disturbed the protest continuity in what was called the "17+8 movement," with 17 short-term demands relating to economic transparency, and 8 long-term demands, including police reform, greater political representation, and an end to militarization. Mass protests have been a recurring feature of Indonesian politics over the past decade, but not at this scale or intensity, with a key factor being an economic slowdown partly due to global uncertainty but also to the large welfare bill and glaring budget deficit.

This description was generated by AI.