Because the original market wasn't pessimistic enough: /BenM/when-will-the-lax-people-mover-open

Resolution criteria

This market will resolve to the calendar date (in Pacific Time) on which the LAX Automated People Mover (APM / SkyLink) officially opens and begins carrying general public / regular airport passengers between any passenger stations.

• Triggering Event: Official commencement of revenue service or public operations, whether in full or a public soft launch/preview carrying ordinary travelers or visitors.

• Exclusions: Construction test runs, emergency/safety trial runs carrying only staff/contractors, and non-public VIP press previews that do not allow access to the general traveling public do not count.

• Resolution Source: Official press release or announcement by Los Angeles World Airports (LAWA) or FlyLAX, confirmed by major regional news outlets (e.g., the Los Angeles Times).

Background

The Automated People Mover (branded as SkyLink) is a 2.25-mile, 6-station elevated electric train designed to link LAX central terminals directly to regional Metro Rail connections, parking facilities, and the Consolidated Rental Car Facility.

Originally slated to open in 2023, the $3.3+ billion project has suffered years of cost overruns, legal disputes between LAWA and contractor consortium LINXS, and repeated timeline revisions. Recent milestones have faced further delays, including testing setbacks and disputes over safety certification and infrastructure handoffs.

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