Will the best AI model according to the Chatbot Arena Leaderboard be using Mixture-of-Depths, at the end of 2025?
Basic
6
Ṁ872026
37%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
Chatbot arena leaderboard:
https://huggingface.co/spaces/lmsys/chatbot-arena-leaderboard
Mixture-of-Depths:
https://arxiv.org/abs/2404.02258
See also:
/Bayesian/will-the-best-ai-model-according-to
/Bayesian/will-the-best-ai-model-according-to-21102e9462c8 (this one)
/Bayesian/will-gpt6-be-trained-with-mixtureof
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000
and3.00
Related questions
Related questions
Will there be an AI language model that strongly surpasses ChatGPT and other OpenAI models before the end of 2024?
9% chance
Will the best AI model according to the Chatbot Arena Leaderboard be using Mixture-of-Depths, at the end of 2024?
20% chance
What will the highest elo of an open-source model on chatbot arena be at the end of 2024?
Which AI will be the best at the end of 2024?
Which organization will have the top model on Chatbot Arena at the end of 2024?
Will OpenAI launch a significantly better model for ChatGPT paying users in 2024? (>= 100 points diff on ChatBot Arena)
21% chance
Which companies will outrank OpenAI on ChatBot Arena in 2024? (>= week)
Which AI will be the best at the end of 2025?
Will there be a model with a 69%+ Chatbot Arena win rate against gpt-o1 before June 1st, 2025?
47% chance
Will any open-source model rank in the top 3 on Chatbot Arena at the end of 2024?
15% chance